How Much House Can I Afford?
My family has been considering a move at some point in the near future (my wife and I have different definitions of the word “near”). Like many red-blooded Americans (the American Dream and all), I get tempted by the listings that are “just” out of our price range. Before you know it, the “budget” has quietly increased […]
How Much Should I Save?
As you build your net worth, your savings rate is the #1 tool in your arsenal. So, how much should you invest for retirement each year? We have long been fans of Vanguard’s annual report titled, “How America Saves“. We last wrote about that Vanguard report in this 2018 blog post. Vanguard hosts 401k plans for ~ 5 […]
All-Time Highs Again
tl;dr version of this post: all-time highs in the stock market usually mean the stock market will be even higher one year hence. The stock market has been sitting at an all-time high for nearly 30% of its history; it’s quite common. While all-time highs make some investors skittish (because they fear a downturn coming after […]
Cash Flow Management
As the ground layer of the financial planning pyramid, cash management is the foundation of your financial plan. If you can’t manage what comes in and out every month, then your financial plan won’t have the stability required to be able to focus on the other layers of the pyramid. For those in “accumulation mode” (meaning […]
Silicon Valley Bank
What makes this failure of Silicon Valley Bank so breathtaking is the speed at which it occurred. With technology enabling faster money movements than ever, banks can see massive outflows in a short period of time, making the timeline from solvency to collapse a short one. A summary of what happened at SVB, via Ryan Detrick: […]
The Gap and the Gain
A group of our advisors recently read The Gap and the Gain, by Dan Sullivan and Dr. Benjamin Hardy (you can download the ebook for free here, in exchange for sharing your information with them). Our firm has no affiliation with their organization, other than appreciating the great resources they provide. It’s a short book with a […]
What Happens After a Bad 6 Months
The broad US stock market just experienced its 11th-worst 6-month period since 1971 (as measured by the Wilshire 5000 Index, which currently has 3,660 constituent stocks*). It’s always possible that markets get worse before they get better. Yet, history has shown that stocks tend to do well following a [very] bad stretch. Captain Obvious here, […]
Resolved
Markets like this one can test your resolve as a long-term, disciplined investor. Watching/consuming too much of the news each day is likely counterproductive (both for your mental/emotional health and your finances). The constant news cycle tends to heighten our emotional reaction to what is going on in the world. As investors, there are always […]
Through Thick and Thin
There are about 253 stock market trading days per year. Over 20 years, that equates to 5,060 trading days. If you missed the 10 best days out of those 5,060, you only missed 0.2% of all the trading days (one-fifth of one percent). You missed 1 out of every 506 trading days, or 1 day […]
Being Greedy When Others Are Fearful
tl;dr version: Americans are very pessimistic right now. This is a contrarian indicator. Stocks have an 84% chance of being higher 12 months from now. It might take some time, but forward-looking return prospects are good when folks are discouraged. The average 12-month forward return in past instances like this is +15%. The University of Michigan […]